Northerly winds, rising barometer, falling dew points, and short range models coming in colder and snowier…
If this was a month from now, I’d be tempted to board the train for a surprise snow thump tomorrow morning, but it’s a week before Thanksgiving. It’s too early. The trees haven’t dropped all their leaves yet. Halloween decorations are still on my front porch. The Redskins are still leading the NFC East and haven’t choked their way to an 8 and 8 season. I haven’t put my winter walrus weight on yet. This can’t happen, right? The hrrr model is terrible. It’s never right. But when it shows four hours of moderate to heavy snow over central MD for tomorrow morning, it’s really hard to not get sucked in by those pretty dark blue bands sitting right over the area. Especially when the NAM comes in colder too. But it’s not dependable either, right?
I’m tempted, but I know better. I still think sleet, and I still think the worst is after 8AM and over before 2PM. But I’ll get up early tomorrow morning just to be sure.