This Weekend, Tuesday Afternoon Update

The mid-day model runs are done for the day, and there is fairly good consensus that central MD should see some snow this weekend.  The GFS has been the most erratic with one recent run giving the region as much as a foot and then six hours later it turns around and gives us flurries, while the Euro has been fairly consistent with a modest 1″ to as much as 4″ event.  Interestingly, the Euro has shown a slight increase over the past 2 model runs, so with 4 days to go, if this is a trend, then there there may be some room for improvement.  Hopefully the incremental increases continue, but for now, just know that snow is possible beginning Saturday evening and lingering into Sunday morning with modest accumulations.

I’ll update again tomorrow.

2 thoughts on “This Weekend, Tuesday Afternoon Update

  1. With each model run, suppression is looking less and less likely. The 18z fv3 actually brings the low so far north to our west before the transfer to the coast that there is mixing, but with that stout high to the north, that doesn’t seem too likely either.

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