I was surprised yesterday when the NWS issued advisories and warnings for some of the counties along the 95 corridor, and even a bit more surprised that they are still up this morning. There may be some wintry precipitation as the storm starts this afternoon because of some residual cold air, but with strong easterly and southerly winds aloft, it should change to rain pretty quickly. Along the MD and PA border the cold may linger longer, but I think you’ll have to travel well west or north to get any real winter impacts from this system. For most of us the bigger concern is minor flooding overnight and then the bitter cold that builds in behind the departing storm. The cold is legitimate Arctic air as low temps Sunday night and Monday night could be in the single digits with highs on Monday in the low 20’s. Add the wind and there could be sub zero wind chills in some areas. We will have to wait to see how much moisture is around when the cold gets here tomorrow, but right now it looks like there should be time for roads and concrete to dry before freezing temps arrive.
Looking further ahead, I don’t see any real snow potential until Thursday night at the earliest, and that looks unlikely at the this time.
The Weather Mill 
Sniff 😢. Thanks for the great updates!
Sent from my iPhone
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Ha! Thanks for thinking that they are great. This public blogging stuff still makes me a bit uncomfortable, and I miss the “closed” email system that the WM used to be, but I’m slowly warming up to it. As I get more comfortable I’ll post more often.
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Kept wondering why I wasn’t seeing an update on this “winter mix” were were supposed to be getting. I figured it was because No News was (NOT) Good News…and sadly that’s proven to be true.
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Yes, that’s pretty much what I was thinking. Admittedly, when NWS issued the advisories and warnings with their afternoon forecast package yesterday afternoon, I got excited that they saw something that I wasn’t seeing in the models. I should have updated last night that I didn’t see anything to get excited about, but I’d hate for people to listen to me and then I end up wrong. It’s one thing to be wrong when you tell folks it’s going to snow and it doesn’t, but it would be irresponsible to tell them I think it’s not going to be bad outside and then the pros end up right. I especially don’t want to ever downplay freezing rain or ice.
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