Thursday, January 16th, 7AM
What a few days ago was looking like a nice morning snow thump to sleet and freezing rain on Saturday morning, has dissolved into muck. Although all models have backed down from a significant winter event in the immediate area, it still needs to be watched because the gfs and nam models still bring frozen precipitation into the area, but the euro is very different with very little precipitation and relatively warmer temperatures. The nam is the most aggressive with precip and temperatures, keeping much of the area below freezing for the day (no surprise on either of those because the nam is notoriously too wet and cold), while the gfs warms the surface to above freezing for the afternoon (also no surprise given that the gfs doesn’t do well in cold air damming (CAD) situations). Hopefully the euro is more right, but I’ll update again on Friday.
The Weather Mill 