Three Separate Events

Wednesday, February 10, 7:30 AM

We’ve got three “storms” to deal with over the next four days beginning this evening with a wave of low pressure sliding along a frontal boundary separating arctic air to the north and warmer air to the south. To keep from getting ahead of ourselves, we should focus on tonight’s impacts as each wave will have an influence over the subsequent system.

For tonight, snow should develop across central MD sometime this evening between 7 and 9PM and continue into Thursday morning. Snowfall rates won’t be heavy, but a general 2 – 4″ snow seems likely based on precipitation totals and temperatures. All areas north of the ICC should be below freezing, and since the bulk of snow will be falling during the night, untreated surfaces will be slick. South and east of there, marginal temperatures may reduce accumulations. Regardless, snow should taper during the morning on Thursday.

There will be a lull for the remainder of the day tomorrow as we wait to see how the second wave develops. Some models have that too far to the south to impact central MD while others suggest it will be weak and have little impact. I’m leaning on tonight and early Thursday as the bigger of the two events, but I’ll update as things develop.

Beyond Friday, there is a more significant system that looks to impact the area Saturday and Saturday night. Presently, that looks like a mixed event with a good deal of freezing rain possible. We can go into more details with that once we see how Friday might play out.

I’ll update later today if things look different for tonight than what I’ve described, otherwise tomorrow morning with more details for Friday and Saturday’s possibilities.