What Went Wrong?

Pretty big bust from the models for an event so close. Even last night’s late runs showed the cold air arriving much sooner than it did this morning, but the front was slow to cross the area, and any cold aloft didn’t mix down to the surface quickly enough. So the end result was mostly rain. I should have known better to believe that we’d get a moderate event from a cold front passage and leftover moisture because it is a situation that we normally do not do well. But, the gfs had been on such a roll recently, that I took it for granted. Note to self, when it comes to snow in central MD, we can always find a way to fail.

Tomorrow night’s storm is modeled to be well south and east of the area with no impacts for us, but I’ll keep watching. If the models messed up this morning, maybe they can settle the score, though it is extremely unlikely.