Quick Monday Morning Update

Monday, December 14, 6:30AM

First, regarding today and the Winter Weather Advisories for the western and northern tier counties, temperatures have warmed a little overnight in these areas, so the predominant precipitation will be rain. Colder air will move in during the afternoon and will change rain to snow in the favored areas well west and right along the Mason-Dixon line in Carroll and Frederick counties, but any accumulation should be light and mainly on grassy surfaces.

As far as Wednesday is concerned, models are pretty consistent with a snow to mix (or rain) back to snow for the 95 corridor. Eastern areas closer to the bay will see more rain, and areas well west of 95 and north of I 70 have the best chance of seeing mostly, if not all snow. Winter Storm Watches have been posted for counties west of the fall line in central MD (pretty much west of I 95), but it’s still too early to know for certain how it all plays out. Totally guessing here, but if it played out like some of the models show now, for eastern areas closer to the bay and southern areas closer to DC, snow to rain to snow, 1 – 3″ total, along 95, snow to sleet/rain to snow, 3 – 6″ total, and west of 29, snow to snot to snow, 6+”. For areas well west and north (Brunswick, Hagerstown, Frederick, Westminster, etc) are going to get clobbered. All just preliminary guesses.

More later.