Friday Morning

A lot of uncertainty and low confidence regarding how Friday morning plays out. What’s certain is that a cold rain develops tomorrow afternoon and continues through Thursday night. Temperatures will rise on southerly winds ahead of a very strong arctic front, and sunrise Friday will be mild with showers in the area. By mid morning, the front should arrive with very high winds and fast dropping temperatures. By early afternoon, temperatures will be below freezing and by evening in the teens. What is not certain is how much precipitation, or what type, falls with and behind the frontal passage. The gfs has been steadfast in accompanying the front with rain, and a quick changeover to snow with some light accumulations possible. Other models are not as aggressive. Even without snow, with rapidly falling temperatures, any wet conditions may become an issue.

Between now and Friday, you’re sure to hear the term “flash freeze” tossed around on local media. It’s not a common event for our area, but when it happens, it’s no joke, especially when road crews would not have the benefit of pretreatment.

It’s a pretty rare occurrence for our area, so for now we know it’s only an outside possibility and continue to monitor model runs.