Happy New Year and Maybe Better Winter Times Ahead

As we begin the new year, it looks like our chances for winter weather may finally be increasing with our first chance coming next weekend. All models are indicating that a storm will impact the area next weekend, but the track, strength, and type of precipitation are unknown. The good news is that models have been very consistent that a storm will develop and impact the area next Saturday night and Sunday, and those same models have been fairly consistent that at least some snow will fall across much of the region. The bad news is that we are still 6 days away so things will definitely change. I am reluctant to say it, but some of the output is very encouraging, so if models remain consistent and we get within a reasonable time frame, I’ll begin sending more specific updates.

Regarding the winter in general, I am disappointed that we didn’t get any real winter weather in December, but given the Pacific is an El Nino, things have been progressing as expected. For me, it’s difficult to remain patient because it feels like forever since we’ve had any snow (BWI has recently surpassed 700 days without an inch of snow), but El Nino’s generally deliver in the second half of winter, so a December shutout is not uncommon. Looking at the long range models, they still indicate that late January and February hold some promise, though no one should blame us if we take a “I’ll believe it when I see it” attitude. Hopefully we get on the board this weekend and can put our dismal losing streak to rest!

Regardless, Happy New Year, and I look forward to more posting opportunities in the near future!